Overall Orange Tropical Cyclone alert for SOULIK-18 in Japan from 15 Aug 2018 12:00 UTC to 17 Aug 2018 06:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for SOULIK-18

in Japan

17 Aug 2018 06 UTC

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to select bulletin time

Meteorological source:

GDACS JTWC

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone SOULIK-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Japan
Exposed population	60 thousand in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	213 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.4 m (21 Aug 06:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Low (Japan)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	185 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Overall	213 km/h	0.4 m	n.a.	1.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

185 km/h Current Max.

Up to 12.1 million people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	176	3 thousand	2 thousand
2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	157	2.7 million	Few people	Japan
3	16 Aug 2018 00:00	167	15.8 million	10 thousand	Japan
4	16 Aug 2018 06:00	213	940 thousand	No people	Japan
5	16 Aug 2018 12:00	213	3.3 million	No people	Japan
6	16 Aug 2018 18:00	213	14.3 million	330 thousand	Japan
7	17 Aug 2018 00:00	194	16 million	3 million	Japan
8	17 Aug 2018 06:00	185	36.2 million	12.1 million	Japan

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	15 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	120000 people	12.5, 144.4	Guam
2	15 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	13.7, 143.9	Guam
3	16 Aug 2018 00:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15.2, 143
4	16 Aug 2018 06:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	16.9, 142.4
5	16 Aug 2018 12:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	18.5, 141.8
6	16 Aug 2018 18:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	<1000 people	20.2, 141.5
7	17 Aug 2018 00:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	21.5, 140.9
8	17 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	<1000 people	23.2, 140.3
8	17 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 2	157	no people	<1000 people	24.7, 139.9
8	18 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 3	185	no people	<1000 people	25.4, 139.6
8	18 Aug 2018 18:00	Category 3	204	no people	<1000 people	25.9, 138.7
8	19 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 4	213	no people	no people	26.3, 137.6
8	20 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 3	204	63000 people	8.4 million people	27.7, 134.8	Japan
8	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 3	185	12.1 million people	36.2 million people	30.2, 131.6	Japan
8	22 Aug 2018 06:00	Category 1	139	no people	no people	33.7, 129.9	Japan

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Japan

Provinces

Region Province	Country
Kyushu	Japan
Chugoku	Japan

Populated places

Name	Region Province	Country	City class	Population
Shibushi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	18000 people
O-nejime	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Jogasaki	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Kanoya	Kagoshima	Japan	City	82000 people
Miyazaki	Miyazaki	Japan	Major city	310000 people
Sueyoshi	Kagoshima	Japan	City	20000 people
Miyakonojo	Miyazaki	Japan	City	130000 people
Takanabe	Miyazaki	Japan	City	22000 people
Takaoka	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Tsuma	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Kokubu	Kagoshima	Japan	City	58000 people
Makurazuki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Taniyama	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Kagoshima	Kagoshima	Japan	Major city	550000 people
Nobeoka	Miyazaki	Japan	City	120000 people
Kajiki	Kagoshima	Japan	City	23000 people
Kamo	Kagoshima	Japan	City	-
Naka-harada	Miyazaki	Japan	City	-
Hitoyoshi	Kumamoto	Japan	City	38000 people
Sendai	Kagoshima	Japan	City	72000 people
Yatsushiro	Kumamoto	Japan	City	100000 people
Matsubase	Kumamoto	Japan	City	26000 people
Kumamoto	Kumamoto	Japan	Major city	680000 people
Hita	Oita	Japan	City	61000 people
Omuta	Fukuoka	Japan	City	150000 people
Nomo	Nagasaki	Japan	City	-
Kurume	Fukuoka	Japan	City	240000 people
Nagasaki	Nagasaki	Japan	Major city	410000 people
Tosu	Saga	Japan	City	63000 people
Omura	Nagasaki	Japan	City	75000 people
Yukuhashi	Fukuoka	Japan	City	71000 people
Saga	Saga	Japan	Major city	170000 people
Tagawa	Fukuoka	Japan	City	51000 people
Hzuka	Fukuoka	Japan	City	-
Ono	Fukuoka	Japan	City	-
Nogata	Fukuoka	Japan	City	62000 people
Kita-kyushu	Fukuoka	Japan	City	1 million people
Shimonoseki	Yamaguchi	Japan	City	240000 people
Fukuoka	Fukuoka	Japan	Major city	1.4 million people
Ashiya	Fukuoka	Japan	City	-
Sasebo	Nagasaki	Japan	City	230000 people

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name	IATA Code	Elevation (m)	Usage	Runway type	IFR	Runway Length (ft)
Tanegashima	TNE	97	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Yakushima	KUM	37	Civ.	Paved	Yes	4900
Nishinoomote	IIN	unknown				0
Miyazaki	KMI	6	Civ.	Paved	Yes	8200
Kanoya		65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7300
Nyutabaru		79	Mil.	Paved	Yes	8800
Kagoshima	KOJ	276	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Kumamoto	KMJ	196	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Amakusa		103				0
Tsuiki		17	Civ.	Paved	Yes	7800
Saga	HSG	2	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6500
Metabaru		16				0
Nagasaki	NGS	5	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9800
Kita Kyushu	KKJ	3	Civ.	Paved	Yes	5200
Fukuoka	FUK	9	Civ.	Paved	Yes	9100
Ashiya		30	Mil.	Paved	Yes	5300
Iki	IKI	16	Civ.	Paved	Yes	3900
Tsushima	TSJ	65	Civ.	Paved	Yes	6200

Ports

Name	LOCODE	Country
Aburatsu	JPABU	Japan
Uchiumi		Japan
Shibushi	JPSBS	Japan
Miyazaki	JPKMI	Japan
Yamagawa		Japan
Kiire	JPKII	Japan
Hosojima	JPHSM	Japan
Makurazaki		Japan
Totoro		Japan
Amamioshima	JPASJ	Japan
Kagoshima	JPKOJ	Japan
Nobeoka	JPNOB	Japan
Kushikino		Japan
Minamata	JPMIN	Japan
Yatsushiro		Japan
Kojiro		Japan
Naga Island		Japan
Misumi	JPMIS	Japan
Ushibuka		Japan
Kuchinotsu	JPKUC	Japan
Shimabara	JPSMB	Japan
Miike	JPMII	Japan
Omuta	JPOMU	Japan
Mogi		Japan
Ha Shima		Japan
Yukuhashi		Japan
Nagasaki	JPNGS	Japan
Okawa		Japan
Suminoe	JPSUM	Japan
Kanda	JPKND	Japan
Moji	JPMOJ	Japan
Shimonoseki	JPSHS	Japan
Kokura	JPKOK	Japan
Yawata	JPYWT	Japan
Matsushima	JPMAT	Japan
Mutsure	JPMTR	Japan
Wakamatsu	JPWAM	Japan
Tobata	JPTBT	Japan
Hakata	JPHKT	Japan
Futajima	JPFUT	Japan
Hibikinada	JPHBK	Japan
Fukuma		Japan
Sakito	JPSTO	Japan
Sasebo	JPSSB	Japan
Imari	JPIMI	Japan
Kogushi		Japan
Ainoura	JPAIN	Japan
Karatsu	JPKAR	Japan
Matsuura		Japan
Aokata		Japan
Izuhara	JPIZH	Japan

Dams

Reservoir	Dam Name	River	Year
Saikyo	Saikyo	Matanobugawa	1984
Sakataniko	Nichinan	Sakatanigawa	1984
Osumiko	Takakuma	Kushiragawa	1968
Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawadaini	Oyodogawa	1932
Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawadaiichi	Oyodogawa	1961
Nojiriko	Iwase	Iwasegawa	1967
Tachibana	Tachibana	Jarogawa	1963
Hitotsuse	Hitotsuse	Hitotsusegawa	1963
Onoko	Ayaminami	Honjogawa	1958
Ouchibaru	Ouchibaru	Mimigawa	1956
Dokawa	Dokawa	Dokawa	1955
Takeyama	Takeyama	Usonokigawa	1986
Saigo	Saigo	Mimigawa	1983
Tsukabaru	Tsukabaru	Mimigawa	1938
Ichifusa	Ichifusa	Kumagawa	1959
Kitagawa	Kitagawa	Kitagawa	1962
Nyuugashiibako	Kamishiiba	Mimigawa	1955
Otsuruko	Tsuruda	Sendaigawa	1965
Kogawa	Kogawa	Kogawa	1973
Uchitani	Uchitani	Itsukiogawa	1975
Higomidorikawako	Midorikawa	Midorikawa	1970
Serikawa	Serikawa	Serigawa	1956
Fukasako	Fukasako	Fukasakogawa	1974
Yamashitaike	Yamashitaike	Kuramotogawa	1918
Kyoragi	Kyoragi	Iwaiguchigawa	1975
Amagatanichosuichi	Jizobaru	Jizobarugawa	1922
Hiju	Hiju	Hijugawa	1968
Hachinosuko	Shimouke	Tsuegawa	1972
Hyugami	Hyugami	Yabegawa	1959
Oshidorinoike	Bessho	Chijiwagawa	1968
Yabakeiko	Yabakei	Yamautsurigawa	1984
Gosho	Gosho	Chikugogawa	1990
Ogakura	Ogakura	Ogakuragawa	1974
Aburagi	Aburagi	Imagawa	1971
Minagiko	Terauchi	Sadagawa	1979
Kamiakizukiko	Egawa	Koishiharagawa	1972
Urakamisuigenchi	Urakami	Oidegawa	2001
Kayaze	Kayaze	Korigawa	2000
Nodaketameike	Nodaketameike		1661
Narumi	Narumi	Futamatagawa	1991
Kuboshiro	Kuboshiro	Kubokawa	1971
Minamihata	Minamihata	Nakagawa	1985
Masubuchichosuichi	Masubuchi	Murasakigawa	1973
Suburi	Suburi	Nakagawa	1976
Nagaiketameike	Nagaike	Zodogawa	1996
Konoura	Konoura	Konouragawa	1969
Rikimaru	Rikimaru	Yakiyamagawa	1965
Hatachosuichi	Hata	Kurokawa	1955
Kayoichoike	Kayoichoike		1710
Hokuzanchosuichi	Hokuzan	Kasegawa	1956
Sayonoumi	Kyuragi	Kyuragigawa	1986
Tondadaiichichosuichi	Tondadaiichi		1968
Tondadaini	Tondadaini		1960
Oi	Oi	Tsurikawa	1969
Tare	Tare	Tsurikawa	1983
Yoshida	Yoshida	Yoshidagawa	1983

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.4 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.4m in Shimama, Japan. This height is estimated for 21 Aug 2018 06:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (121 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 8 of 17 Aug 2018 06:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimama	Japan	0.4
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ushino	Japan	0.4
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Sakai	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hirayama	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hirota	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hamada	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Osaki	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takesaki	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Masuda	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ikenohira	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Anjo	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tachiyama	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ono	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Azako	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kanda	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tsunemi	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Guniwa	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Anno	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shoiiura	Japan	0.3
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Yukuhashi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Oryuzako	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Karijuku	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Miza	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Sumiyoshi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Onasu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Buzen	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Mitariyama	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takeyano	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Yokoyama	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Miyazaki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kisaki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nakayama	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tachibandori	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Haruguchi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Aburatsu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimonoseki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shiida	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Higashiyoshitomi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nakatsu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Imazu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimo-Nishime	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Moji	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Noma	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Niinauri	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nishino	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Igatan	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Meitsu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Yasuoka	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Chofu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Habu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ajisu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimogo	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimonaka	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hamatsuwaki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takenokawa	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Odaira	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Yanagihara	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Iseki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Udo	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nagasu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takedatsu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Taketazu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Higashi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takanabe	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Uwae	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hashitsu	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nijuban	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hirauchi	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ambo	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Funayuki	Japan	0.2
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kagawa	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kaminaka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Makigawa	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Minato	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nakamura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ogori	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Aioura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Daido	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Miyanoura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tomai	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tsuno	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Mimitsu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Jurokuban	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kunigami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kunikami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Miyanoura	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shibushi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Ube	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tokonami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kurosaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tabe	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Fukagawa	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hayama	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takabo	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Hofu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Toiyaguchi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Taina	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Takada	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Bungo-Takada	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Jusamban	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Shimo-Tashima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Imi	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Honjo	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nagata	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Izashiki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kurazami	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nishinoomote	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kerisaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Komakino	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Osaki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Yakenota	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kojima	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Onoaida	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Haro	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Mugyu	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tomiku	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tsurukawa	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Segire	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Nobeoka	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Kitsuki	Japan	0.1
	21 Aug 2018 06:00	Tsurusaki	Japan	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.